Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 3.0%-4.0%?Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 0%-1.0%?Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 0%-1.0%?Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 1.0%-2.0%?Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 1.0%-2.0%?Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 3.0%-4.0%?Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?This is a market on the margin of victory for the Arizona election.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.