Prediction HFT
BOX OFFICE
'Arthur the King' over $15m opening weekend?

'Arthur the King' over $15m opening weekend?

RESOLVESMar 18, 2024 · 07:00 AM UTC
SOURCEboxofficemojo.com
CONTRACT0xef0c…e214

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW0¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
—
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$7k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
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Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10720352/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on how much 'Arthur the King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10720352/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 15 - March 17) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Arthur the King' (2024) grosses more than $15,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by March 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10720352/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Mar 18, 2024 · 07:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.