Will the Coalition win by 30 or more seats?
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?
Will the Labor Party win by 30โ39 seats?
Will the Coalition win by 1โ9 seats?
Will the Labor Party win by 20โ29 seats?
Will the Labor Party win by 1โ9 seats?
Will the Labor Party win by 10โ19 seats?
Will the Coalition win by 10โ19 seats?
Will another party or independent win the most seats?
Will the Coalition win by 20โ29 seats?The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.