Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENCULTUREEVENT IN 219D 7H
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

MARKETS3
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
CONTRACT0xad02…ee8a
EVENT VOLUME
$45k
MARKETS
3
LIQUIDITY
β€”
CONTRACT
0xad02…ee8a

Markets in this event

3 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?
$19k
VOL
β†’
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by June 30?
$15k
VOL
β†’
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by December 31?
$11k
VOL
β†’

Event activity

Across all 3 markets
24H VOLUME
β€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$45k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
β€”
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 3 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.