INTEREST RATES

ECB Interest Rates: January 2025
Markets in this event
5 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will ECB lower interest rates by more than 50bps in January 2025?Yes 0%No 100%
$428k
VOL
โ
Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025?Yes 0%No 100%
$285k
VOL
โ
Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?Yes 0%No 100%
$214k
VOL
โ
Will ECB lower interest rates by 50bps in January 2025?Yes 0%No 100%
$187k
VOL
โ
Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes 100%No 0%
$183k
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 5 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$1.3M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jan 30, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 5 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.