Prediction HFT
ELON MUSK
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

RESOLVESJun 30, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC
CONTRACT0x149f…9719

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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24H VOLUME
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Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$587k
Since creation
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About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk announces he has resigned or will resign as head/co-head of the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from Elon that he is resigning will qualify, regardless of whether he actually resigns. If DOGE is created and Elon Musk is not it's head/co-head at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." If DOGE is not officially created by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Elon Musk or the Trump Administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.