
Haiti intervention by April 30?
Current odds
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Market stats
Polymarket · CLOBRecent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
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About this market
ContextThis market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel from countries other than Haiti conduct officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations on the ground within the sovereign territory of Haiti intended to establish increased national security or stability between March 19, 2024 and April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping and/or security operations must involve that country's physical police or military presence within the sovereign territory of Haiti. For the purposes of this market, "police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance or intelligence performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. Security actions undertaken by a country exclusively to protect, evacuate, or maintain the safety of its embassy and personnel within Haiti will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign police, military, peacekeeping, or security intervention from the foreign government making the intervention. A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.