YES
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES
POLITICS
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
RESOLVESSep 8, 2025 · 12:00 AM UTC
CONTRACT0x6874…2eff
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
—
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$134k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
—
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
About this market
ContextParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progress Party (FrP) wins 22% or more of all valid votes in the next Norwegian parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Sep 8, 2025 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.