Prediction HFT
TECH
OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

RESOLVESJul 31, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, Sam Altman, or an official representative of the company publicly announces that it is actively developing smart glasses, a virtual reality (VR) headset, an augmented reality (AR) headset, or any similar wearable consumer hardware device by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must clearly indicate that the product is in development, planned, or being worked on internally or in collaboration with a partner (e.g. Jony Ive or LoveFrom). The announcement must mention a concrete form factor or category (e.g. “glasses,” “AR headset,” “wearable device,” etc.) related to eyewear or head-mounted consumer hardware. General statements about interest in hardware, ambient computing, or non-specific wearable concepts will not be sufficient The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI, Sam Altman, or an official representative, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Jul 31, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.