POLITICS
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Markets in this event
17 markets ยท sorted by volume
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes 0%No 100%
$20.4M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes 0%No 100%
$15.9M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?Yes 0%No 100%
$12.7M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$8.7M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes 0%No 100%
$8.5M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes 0%No 100%
$7.6M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?Yes 0%No 100%
$7.6M
VOL
โ
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes 0%No 100%
$7.2M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes 0%No 100%
$7.1M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes 100%No 0%
$5.3M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes 0%No 100%
$5.1M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes 0%No 100%
$3.9M
VOL
โ
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Yes 0%No 100%
$3.6M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?Yes 0%No 100%
$3.5M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes 0%No 100%
$2.4M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?Yes 0%No 100%
$2.3M
VOL
โ
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?Yes 0%No 100%
$2.2M
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 17 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$124.0M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersPopular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jan 31, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 17 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.