TRUMP
Popular Vote Winner 2024
Markets in this event
17 markets ยท sorted by volume
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 0%No 100%
$163.8M
VOL
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Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 100%No 0%
$119.9M
VOL
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Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$70.2M
VOL
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Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$47.8M
VOL
โ
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$39.3M
VOL
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Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$37.0M
VOL
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Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$36.5M
VOL
โ
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$35.2M
VOL
โ
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$21.9M
VOL
โ
Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes 0%No 100%
$12.6M
VOL
โ
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$8.5M
VOL
โ
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$6.4M
VOL
โ
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$6.2M
VOL
โ
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$6.0M
VOL
โ
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$5.7M
VOL
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Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$5.7M
VOL
โ
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes 0%No 100%
$5.4M
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 17 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$628.2M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Nov 4, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 17 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.