Prediction HFT
TRUMP
Presidential Election Winner 2024

Presidential Election Winner 2024

MARKETS17
CLOSESNov 5, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$3686.3M
MARKETS
17
LIQUIDITY
โ€”

Markets in this event

17 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$1531.5M
VOL
โ†’
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$1037.0M
VOL
โ†’
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$241.7M
VOL
โ†’
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$153.4M
VOL
โ†’
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$141.6M
VOL
โ†’
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$116.6M
VOL
โ†’
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$107.5M
VOL
โ†’
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$93.3M
VOL
โ†’
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$72.2M
VOL
โ†’
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$54.2M
VOL
โ†’
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$46.3M
VOL
โ†’
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$22.0M
VOL
โ†’
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$21.2M
VOL
โ†’
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$14.7M
VOL
โ†’
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$14.2M
VOL
โ†’
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$9.8M
VOL
โ†’
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$9.2M
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 17 markets
24H VOLUME
โ€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$3686.3M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ€”
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This is a market on predicting the winner of the 2024 presidential election.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Nov 5, 2024 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 17 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.