Prediction HFT
BUSINESS
Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?

Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?

RESOLVESDec 20, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$52k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Russian Ruble (RUB) price / exchange rate of one US Dollar (USD) hits ₽110.000 or greater at any time between December 12, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The primary resolution source for this market will be the mid-market rates on the foreign exchange platform XE: https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1D, specifically the "high" price within the market timeframe. This market will resolve on midmarket prices with a 10-min resolution, however the "high" price for the time period of this market will be sufficient.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 20, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.