
| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
This is a prediction market on Polymarket for the question: Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?. It falls under the tech news category. Each contract pays out $1 if the outcome resolves in your favor, and $0 otherwise. The implied probability shown above is simply the current trading price — if a contract is priced at $0.65, the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome occurring.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.