What are the odds of "Yes" for "SOL hits $200 by next Friday?"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "No" for "SOL hits $200 by next Friday?"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

SOL hits $200 by next Friday? | Prediction Market

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.96

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.99

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.93

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

—

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$31k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

—

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket

https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/SOL-USD

ORACLEUMA Optimistic

DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $200.00 or greater according to Binance between March 15, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The last candle from 23:30 to 00:00 will be considered. If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/SOL-USD

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Mar 30, 2024 · 11:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.