Prediction HFT
USA ELECTION
State wide recount in Presidential Election?

State wide recount in Presidential Election?

RESOLVESDec 17, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$25k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify. Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities. If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 17, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.