Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons while Justin Trudeau is serving as prime minister between December 15, 2024, and March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time prior to a motion of no confidence passing, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.