Prediction HFT
GEOPOLITICS
Was Milei hacked?

Was Milei hacked?

RESOLVESFeb 16, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$8.7M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

About this market

Context

On February 14, Javier Milei posted the following: https://x.com/JMilei/status/1890521742961156552 This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is released that Javier Milei's X account @JMilei, was hacked, meaning that the recent tweet about $LIBRA was posted without his consent or authorization. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no definitive evidence is released prior to Sunday, February 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve according to official statements from Javier Milei and a consensus of credible reporting. Note that actions such as the above posts being deleted will count as evidence toward Javier Milei being hacked, but will be considered in context of a consensus of credible reporting.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Feb 16, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.