Prediction HFT
LIVE · TRADING OPENCRYPTOEVENT IN 220D 12H
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

MARKETS5
CLOSESJan 1, 2027 · 05:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$61
MARKETS
5
LIQUIDITY
$5k

Markets in this event

5 markets · sorted by volume

Event activity

Across all 5 markets
24H VOLUME
$61
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$33k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$5k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jan 1, 2027 · 05:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 5 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.