LIVE ยท TRADING OPENGEOPOLITICSEVENT IN 207D 22H
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Markets in this event
17 markets ยท sorted by volume
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 10%No 91%
$104k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Yes 23%No 77%
$56k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 30%No 71%
$50k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Yes 18%No 82%
$32k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Yes 7%No 93%
$21k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Yes 14%No 86%
$19k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Yes 15%No 85%
$16k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes 11%No 90%
$13k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?Yes 19%No 82%
$6k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes 17%No 84%
$5k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$4k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$3k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 34%No 66%
$2k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Yes 8%No 92%
$2k
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?Yes 25%No 75%
$419
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?Yes 16%No 85%
$372
VOL
โ
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes 14%No 86%
$366
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 17 markets24H VOLUME
$430
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$335k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$99k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 17 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.