Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENCULTUREEVENT IN 162D 3H
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?

Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?

MARKETS5
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$626
MARKETS
5
LIQUIDITY
$63

Markets in this event

5 markets Β· sorted by volume

Event activity

Across all 5 markets
24H VOLUME
β€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$626
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$63
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed nicotine pouch brand is bought or otherwise acquired by Big Tobacco between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Big Tobacco" is defined as any of the following corporations: Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International, Imperial Brands, Altria, or China Tobacco. Any change of name of these companies will not affect the resolution of this market provided they remain major names in the tobacco industry. Any change in the name of the listed nicotine pouch brand will similarly not affect the resolution of this market. Any acquisition which gives Big Tobacco ownership of the rights to the nicotine pouch product will qualify even if Big Tobacco does not acquire the entire company, whether through a merger, asset purchase, or stock purchase. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 5 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.