Prediction HFT
KASH PATEL
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

MARKETS23
CLOSESJun 30, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$23.0M
MARKETS
23
LIQUIDITY
โ€”

Markets in this event

23 markets ยท sorted by volume
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
$5.3M
VOL
โ†’
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
$3.6M
VOL
โ†’
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
$3.3M
VOL
โ†’
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
$3.2M
VOL
โ†’
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
$2.7M
VOL
โ†’
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
$1.2M
VOL
โ†’
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?
$1.2M
VOL
โ†’
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?
$764k
VOL
โ†’
Chris Wright confirmed as Secretary of Energy?
$306k
VOL
โ†’
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?
$237k
VOL
โ†’
Doug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?
$189k
VOL
โ†’
Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?
$162k
VOL
โ†’
Scott Bessent confirmed as Treasury Secretary?
$149k
VOL
โ†’
Kristi Noem confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security?
$131k
VOL
โ†’
Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?
$126k
VOL
โ†’
Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?
$92k
VOL
โ†’
Sean Duffy confirmed as Secretary of Transportation?
$84k
VOL
โ†’
John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?
$78k
VOL
โ†’
Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?
$66k
VOL
โ†’
Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?
$57k
VOL
โ†’
Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?
$56k
VOL
โ†’
Marco Rubio confirmed as Secretary of State?
$46k
VOL
โ†’
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Secretary of State?
โ€”
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 23 markets
24H VOLUME
โ€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$23.0M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ€”
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This is a market on the likelihood of confirmation for various nominees picked by Trump.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 23 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.