TRUMP PRESIDENCY
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Markets in this event
15 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Robert O'Brien be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$6.9M
VOL
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Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 100%No 0%
$2.4M
VOL
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Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$2.0M
VOL
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Will Thomas Massie be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$686k
VOL
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Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$560k
VOL
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Will Joni Ernst be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$406k
VOL
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Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$287k
VOL
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Will Mike Pompeo be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$220k
VOL
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Will Mike Waltz be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$213k
VOL
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Will Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$141k
VOL
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Will Mike Rogers be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$113k
VOL
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Will Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$99k
VOL
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Will Person E be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$0
VOL
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Will another person be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$0
VOL
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Will Person D be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$0
VOL
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Event activity
Across all 15 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$14.0M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
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Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on predicting the individual who will be confirmed as the next Secretary of Defense.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 15 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.