
| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
During the 2020 Presidential election the Democratic party lost Florida and Texas and the Republican party lost Minnesota and New Hampshire. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of those states flip, namely if either the Democratic Party wins Florida or Texas or if the Republican party wins Minnesota or New Hampshire in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.