Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022?

This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on January 6, 2022, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Joe Biden is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Joe Biden is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. If any of these 3 sources list Joe Biden officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.