Prediction HFT
POLITICS
Kamala Harris calls on Eric Adams to resign by Friday?

Kamala Harris calls on Eric Adams to resign by Friday?

RESOLVESOct 4, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
CONTRACT0xb6ed…4c37

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW0¢YESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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24H VOLUME
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Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$21k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
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Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris publicly states that Eric Adams should resign from the office of Mayor of New York City by October 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A clear statement from Harris calling Adams to resign (e.g. "it would be in the best interest the city for Adams to move on") will qualify even if she does not explicitly use the words "resign" or "step down". Statements that are ambiguous, hedged, or imply he should resign without explicitly calling for resignation (e.g. “Mayor Adams should consider stepping aside,” “We need to evaluate the leadership in New York City") will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Kamala Harris or one of her official representatives.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Oct 4, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.