Will more than 3.30 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before November 19?

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.96

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.99

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.93

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$2k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

$500

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket

https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership

ORACLEUMA Optimistic

DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on NYC subway's daily ridership numbers, determined from MetroCard and OMNY swipes and taps, including ridership on the Staten Island Railway. If daily subway ridership in New York City is higher than 3,300,000 for any day between November 5 and November 18 2021 (including both), this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source for this market is The Metropolitan Transportation Authority Day-by-day ridership numbers (https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership) and it will be checked at daily at 11:30 AM ET. If the data for any day is not available for any day between November 5 to November 18 inclusive by November 28 for all of the checks, this market resolves 50-50.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Nov 20, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.