WORLD
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
Markets in this event
6 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Yes 100%No 0%
$1.9M
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes 100%No 0%
$1.6M
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$830k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$495k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?Yes 100%No 0%
$215k
VOL
โ
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$65k
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 6 markets24H VOLUME
โ
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$5.1M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on whether Russia will successfully capture the city of Kupiansk by the specified date.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 6 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.