What are the odds of "Yes" for "Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15?"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "No" for "Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15?"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15?

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.01

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.02

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.01

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$20k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

$158

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket

https://www.larvalabs.com/cryptopunks/forsale#

ORACLEUMA Optimistic

DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether CryptoPunks will maintain a price floor over 100 ETH on November 15, 2021, at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on the aforementioned check time, there are no CryptoPunks (on https://www.larvalabs.com/cryptopunks/forsale#) listed for 100 ETH or lower, and “No” otherwise. Only listings that have existed for at least an hour are valid for this market (as verified by the transaction hash time).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

https://www.larvalabs.com/cryptopunks/forsale#

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Nov 15, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.