Will Trump comment on immigration debate today?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President-elect Donald Trump issues a public statement about the current immigration debate surrounding skilled, legal foreign workers between December 26, 2024, 2:00 PM ET and December 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (see https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871978282289082585). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must be issued by Trump, his social media accounts, or statements made to media outlets. Trump does not need to explicitly mention the H-1B visa so long as it's clear a statement references the ongoing debate about skilled, legal foreign worker immigration vs. American workers (see tweets such as https://x.com/NikkiHaley/status/1872344248915554712, https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1872312139945234507, https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871956518213656728, etc.). Statements solely about illegal immigration (e.g. via southern border) will not count. For the purposes of this market, a public statement includes any social media post (e.g. via https://x.com/potus) or public statements (e.g. a comment to the press, a speech given at an event). The primary resolution source will be the qualifying statement itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.