YES
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES
MYSTERY DRONES
Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday?
RESOLVESDec 15, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
CONTRACT0x2ff7…0b45
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
—
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$34k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
—
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
About this market
ContextOver the last week several large unidentified flying objects have been recorded flying over New Jersey and New York. It has been broadly reported that they are drones: (https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1867398877067854160) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a public statement regarding these "mystery drones" by Sunday, December 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a public statement includes any social media post (e.g. via Truth Social or X @realDonaldTrump) or public statements (e.g. a comment to the press, a speech given at an event). The primary resolution source will be the qualifying statement itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 15, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.