Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.