
| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump was hit with a $454 million penalty as a consequence of a civil fraud case brought against him by the State of New York. This bond was reduced, and the deadline to make bond extended, however until now he has been unable to post bond. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president Donald J. Trump makes bond in this case by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If his bond requirement is completely waived (that is - he is no longer required to post bond by any future date), this market will also resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.