Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?This is a market group over the temperature increase recorded for January 2025.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.