OPENAI
GPT-5 released by…?
Markets in this event
11 markets · sorted by volume
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes 100%No 0%
$2.2M
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$1.5M
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes 100%No 0%
$877k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes 100%No 0%
$782k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes 0%No 100%
$745k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes 100%No 0%
$580k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$336k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by April 30?Yes 0%No 100%
$189k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$88k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by May 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$28k
VOL
→
Will GPT-5 be released by August 20?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
→
Event activity
Across all 11 markets24H VOLUME
—
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$7.3M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
—
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 11 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.