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Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars?

Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars?

RESOLVESApr 25, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEoscars.org

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢NOMADLANDTHE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
OPEN 24H
0.96
Nomadland
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Nomadland

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$7k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$500
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2021
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on which film will win the Academy Award for Best Picture at the 93rd Academy Awards (“Oscars”), scheduled to take place on Sunday April 25, 2021. This market will resolve to whichever bracket contains the film which is announced as the winner in the Best Picture category at the 93rd Academy Awards. The market will resolve to “Other” if any of the following films win Best Picture: Mank, Judas and the Black Messiah, Sound of Metal, or The Father. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards, and if necessary, the Oscars website (https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2021) and award database (http://awardsdatabase.oscars.org/). If for any reason the Oscars are delayed or the announcement of a winner is delayed, market resolution will be delayed until a Best Picture winner is announced. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2021
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Apr 25, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Nomadland (100%), The Trial of the Chicago 7 (0%), Minari (0%), Promising Young Woman (0%), Other (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.