Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that has the effect of privatizing the United States Postal Service (USPS) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial privatization measures, such as outsourcing significant USPS operations, or establishing a framework for privatization, will qualify, as long as they are broadly reported as privatization by a consensus of credible reporting. The legislation or action does not need to be binding or enforced in all states for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.