Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s). Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.